Dr Sam Mehrbod’s Blog
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How Will Below 4% Interest Hit Vancouver’s Property Market?
Vancouver home prices are cooling — detached homes may drop 5% in 2026! Smaller ‘bite-sized’ projects like townhomes and hotels are the new big trend. Interest rates under 4% — probably the lowest they’ll go for years. Commercial real estate is glowing: 95% of experts see same or better 2026 activity. Realistic pricing key; buyers…
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What’s Ahead for Metro Vancouver’s Market in 2026
Pre-sale condo activity is projected to remain muted, with limited new launches. Many recently started projects may stay paused or require redesigns. High-rise supply constraints will persist due to lending conventions and pre-sale dependence. Lower actual construction costs could enable selective project completions. The market will continue rethinking high-rise delivery to match reduced demand and…
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OPINION: Inside Vancouver’s next housing cycle — demand, supply and affordability
Vancouver’s housing market is in a phase of gradual adjustment, not boom or collapse. Demand is driven by population growth and household formation, but affordability limits purchasing power. Supply responds slowly due to long construction timelines and higher financing costs. Sales volumes remain low, inventory has increased unevenly, and rents stay firm. Future changes will…
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تغییرات جزئی در ارزیابی املاک سراسر منطقه
بیشتر ارزیابیهای املاک مسکونی در منطقه Thompson-Nicola برای سال ۲۰۲۶ تغییرات ملایمی را نشان میدهد و ارزشها عمدتاً بین منفی ۵ تا مثبت ۵ درصد نوسان داشتهاند. Kamloops، Clinton و Logan Lake بدون تغییر باقی ماندهاند، در حالی که Ashcroft، Cache Creek، Merritt و Sun Peaks با کاهش جزئی مواجه شدند. ارزش املاک Lytton به…
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پیشبینی رشد بازار مسکن کانادا در سالهای ۲۰۲۶ و ۲۰۲۷ با تقاضای انباشته
انتظار میرود بازار مسکن دستدوم کانادا در سال ۲۰۲۶ دوباره رونق بگیرد و این روند تا سال ۲۰۲۷ ادامه یابد؛ این رشد عمدتاً ناشی از تقاضای انباشته خریداران بار اول خواهد بود. پیشبینی میشود معاملات در سطح ملی در سال ۲۰۲۶ به میزان ۵.۱٪ و در سال ۲۰۲۷ به میزان ۳.۵٪ افزایش یابد و بیشترین…
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Hidden Risk Threatening Vancouver 2026 Home Prices
Oversupply of condos and presales may suppress price growth unexpectedly. Over 600 billion in mortgages reset by 2026 could force fire sales. Investor withdrawal reduces demand and slows price recovery. Unexpected neighborhood redevelopment risk could lower valuations near future builds. Forecasts ignore sentiment, fear, and hesitance that actually drive prices.
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عوارض توسعه، محرک راهکارهای نوآورانه در بازار مسکن کانادا
دادههای جدید CMHC نشان میدهد عوارض توسعه شهری تأثیر قابل توجهی بر قیمت خانههای نوساز دارند و این هزینهها در شهرهای مختلف کانادا بسیار متفاوت است. در انتاریو، این عوارض میتواند ۸ تا ۱۶ درصد به قیمت کاندو و تا ۹ درصد به خانههای مستقل اضافه کند. افزایش این عوارض همراه با رشد قیمت زمین…
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2025 Brings More Opportunities for Metro Vancouver Homebuyers
Metro Vancouver's home sales in 2025 hit a 20-year low with about 23,800 sales, a 10.4% drop from 2024 and 25% below the 10-year average. Despite high listings, the market slowdown is driven by economic uncertainty and rapid past price growth, causing buyer hesitation. Prices fell 5% in December 2025 but have since stabilized. Listings…
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North Shore Properties Become More Affordable in 2025
Property values in the Lower Mainland, including the North Shore, have declined, with single-family home prices dropping 3-5% and strata homes decreasing about 2%. The total real estate value in British Columbia fell nearly 2.5% to over $2.75 trillion. Market uncertainty stems from tariffs, Indigenous land title rulings, and slow sales, with no major price…
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Will Vancouver See Housing Recovery in 2026?
Vancouver small condos forecast continued price softness due to limited investor demand. Larger units with parking will outperform in resale value through 2026. Population inflows and remote work trends may stabilize demand in certain neighbourhoods. Mortgage affordability pressures are projected to keep overall market growth below national averages. Gradual recovery expected as borrowing costs decline…